Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 6.217754e-01 0.798884 0.998621 1.237896 1.514086 1.820345 2.183043
2025-09-14 3.906740e-01 0.613997 0.898609 1.275623 1.749756 2.314774 3.027234
2025-09-21 2.421668e-01 0.473409 0.807042 1.291879 1.947787 2.775694 3.870419
2025-09-28 1.403353e-01 0.353652 0.705596 1.265723 2.075757 3.150353 4.628302
2025-10-05 8.603492e-02 0.282834 0.652357 1.289367 2.262607 3.605199 5.507740
2025-10-12 5.014262e-02 0.224372 0.599526 1.298243 2.420740 4.023381 6.353146
2025-10-19 2.458024e-02 0.166629 0.527096 1.257548 2.493334 4.318937 7.039146
2025-10-26 1.090098e-02 0.124583 0.469056 1.227021 2.572007 4.620149 7.738083
2025-11-02 4.768982e-03 0.099046 0.437222 1.236323 2.711057 5.011817 8.573524
2025-11-09 1.223269e-03 0.071378 0.385892 1.195554 2.758292 5.262737 9.211189
2025-11-16 3.883923e-04 0.061476 0.380661 1.248159 2.968660 5.770103 10.234008
2025-11-23 2.925876e-05 0.047729 0.355072 1.250632 3.087487 6.136514 11.057108
2025-11-30 4.731641e-07 0.043216 0.361719 1.330153 3.356334 6.757436 12.286465
2025-12-07 NaN 0.036729 0.356798 1.381397 3.575796 7.307353 13.424786
2025-12-14 NaN 0.029202 0.341641 1.404508 3.742597 7.776978 14.453117
2025-12-21 NaN 0.020362 0.310435 1.379759 3.813449 8.089944 15.248931
2025-12-28 NaN 0.015966 0.299342 1.406367 3.986240 8.576363 16.320605
2026-01-04 NaN 0.011802 0.283671 1.416562 4.125025 9.008040 17.314429
2026-01-11 NaN 0.007082 0.252489 1.373709 4.149920 9.244947 18.007430
2026-01-18 NaN 0.004088 0.227038 1.341444 4.192855 9.511979 18.751103
2026-01-25 NaN 0.002672 0.215444 1.351432 4.326466 9.939654 19.756569
2026-02-01 NaN 0.001191 0.190362 1.308112 4.338421 10.151694 20.419860
2026-02-08 NaN 0.000919 0.192563 1.364091 4.576316 10.771677 21.749526